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« bank secrecy and tax evasion by wealthy US clients | Main | Addressing Poverty, Protecting the Environment: PEW religious survey and its implications for tax policies »

June 20, 2008

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Hi Prof. Beale, I just read an article in the Wall Street this morning interviewing Robert Mundell. He takes the position that the Bush tax cuts should be made permanent and any tax increases would be a disaster to the US economy. I don't know a ton about Mundell other than he helped bring about the euro-zone and believes in "supply-side" economics. What are your thoughts? Hope you're doing well!

Mundell's position isn't new--it is the standard GOP/big business position that letting the Bush tax changes sunset as they are currently set to do would amount to a tax increase and be disastrous. I disagree, for several reasons. Businesses have reaped enormous benefits out of the various "temporary" cuts (like accelerated depreciation) and know that they are not likely to be sustainable over the long term. A significant number of the business tax cuts merely reward behavior that will take place anyway--one obvious example is the R&D credit (instead of the rational deduction); another example is the accelerated deprecation (businesses have to purchase equipment to stay competitive); yet another is the section 199 "manufacturing" deduction that accomplished a rate reduction for particular industries (and then was extended to most of oil and gas at lobbyists' demand, etc.). As for individuals, eliminating the tax benefits to the very wealthy put in place by the Bush administration (the estate tax, the top rates, the capital gains rate reduction) won't negatively impact our economy at all (the wealthy can't spend all their money anyway): in fact, the extra funding for the government should help fund important long-term infrastructure projects, making a significant positive impact on the economy.

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