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October 08, 2008

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Taxrascal

Are you sure deregulation is the exact problem, here? This seems to be the latest in a series of disastrous half-deregulations: the in the early 1980's, the S&Ls got looser capital requirements -- but more deposit insurance; in the late 1990's, California had floating wholesale energy prices -- and fixed retail prices; and now we have a freely-trading financial market -- dominated by government-guaranteed mortgages with government-created tax advantages. Would Fannie, Freddie, and the mortgage tax deduction exist in a truly deregulated state?

LindaMBeale

taxrascal

The government didn't actually guarantee Fannie and Freddie. It chartered the companies, but they were privately owned enterprises that lobbied for beneficial treatment just like all the other biggies. Investors invested, however, making an assumption that the quasi-governmental status and importance of the function of Fannie and Freddie would lead the government to save them if they got too deep in risk. Ultimately, the investors were correct about a government takeover, though the manner in which it was done probably left those investors without the same profits they would have had if it had been an explicit guarantee.

The problem with your argument about "half deregulation" is that it assumes that if you got rid of any regulation whatsoever the problems would have been less instead of greater. The credit crisis around the mortgage blowup is centered in two things--the credit default swap mess and the free-flowing securitizations of risky mortgage loans. Blame rests on the failure of regulation of the banking industry and of derivatives, and with those private banks that decided to bypass the Fannie/Freddie restrictions on kinds of mortgages that could be securitized. Lehmann and Bear Stearns and the other investment banks bought up mortgages and securitized them directly, paying themselves the fees that would otherwise have gone to Fannie or Freddie. They didn't have the same restrictions, so could (and did) gobble up subprime and other riskier mortgages. That process over the last eight years built an enormously risky house of cards with no regulatory apparatus to underpin it.

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