ataxingmatter

The Utterly Terrible GOP Tax "Reform" Scam

The Republicans in the House and Senate continue on their downhill rush to pass their so-called "tax reform" plan before the holiday break.  It's a mad rush to nowhere, a corrupt process of "please the oligarch" that will cause a huge deficit increase (on the scale of $1 to $1.5 TRILLION over ten years) and be used by the Ryan, McConnell and Trump cadre of liars to justify a domino effect of Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security cuts.  It is class warfare of the one percent against everyone else.  And it is being sold to the American people with a litany of falsehoods.

Almost all the provisions in the bill are designed to be generous to the ultra wealthy and stingy to the middle class and poor. 

Corporations and their owners and managers--among the wealthiest people in the country--get the only permanent tax breaks.  It's done in the name of competitiveness, but that's bunk.  It essentially encourages corporations to continue to move profits out of the US because foreign profits are taxed at zero while US profits are taxed at 20%.  It pretends that the multiple tax breaks for big corporations are necessary (under disproven trickle-down and supply-side theories) to lead to more investment in business in the US and to more jobs and higher pay for workers.  But in fact corporations are enjoying record profits under current law and they aren't using those record profits to pay their workers more or to create more jobs or even necessarily to invest in the US.  Mostly they are just doing share buybacks for shareholders (ie, owners/managers and other shareholders) that include the  wealthiest people who own the most corporate stock.  That's because it is demand, not capital, that determines what business expansion is needed and results in labor shortages that give workers leverage to demand more pay.  Tax cuts for corporations just add to the already existing capital glut.

The estate tax cut (elimination in the House bill; doubling the exemption to levels that only the very few multi-billionaires will pay any at all in the Senate) ensures that the wealthy will pay almost no tax at all.  They borrow against their wealth while alive.  Their estates pay no tax on the accumulated wealth when they die.  Their children inherit with a "step up" in basis so they get a huge windfall.  And their children can pay off the parents' debt by selling a few items (because of the basis step-up, with no taxes either) and live on their windfall without ever lifting a finger to do any real work.

Individual workers really lose out in these bills.  Under the House bill, the rate on the lowest wage earners is INCREASED 20%--from 10% to 12%.  And all of the 'tax cuts' for ordinary taxpayers sunset after a few years, while the corporate cuts are permanent.  Shows where the GOP loyalties lie--not to the worker base that put them in office, but to the wealthy oligarchs like the Koch Brothers who donate to the GOP political campaign chests.

The pass-through provisions (a 23% "deduction" from income before tax is one version)--along with the ability of businesses but not individuals to deduct state and local taxes--are a great boon for wealthy owners of real estate partnership interests, like the Trump family.  But they make no sense at all.  The more different kinds of income categories that are created with different rates, the more you empower the wealthy to gamesmanship with the tax system.  That's what this legislation does in spades.

And after the American people spoke up in Town Hall after Town Hall that they wanted the Affordable Care Act health insurance system protected, the Senate's version of the so-called "tax reform" bill (developed in utter secrecy by Republicans bargaining with Republicans as though nobody else counts) eliminates the individual health insurance mandate (and accompanying penalty).  Without that, the entire idea of affordable insurance through government-operated exchanges fails, because the only people on those exchanges will be those who are sick enough or old enough or vulnerable enough to realize that they will need health insurance soon.  Insurance works by diversification of risk--that's why the Republican insurance plan in Massachusetts, the model for Obamacare, called for an individual mandate and penalty.  Without that core feature, the exchanges can't work because the risk isn't sufficiently diversified.  The Republicans who are trying to gut Obamacare know that, and apparently they don't care that this particular "tax cut" will in fact cost more than 8 million Americans the possibility of having affordable health care, likely leading to early deaths for a large number of that group.  They don't care, I guess, because "those people" are less likely to be wealthy and less likely to vote Republican.  If you are so blinded by partisan fealty that you no longer care about legislating for the good of the nation, you descend to the garbage dump level of this Republican tax bill.

Of course, the elimination of the individual tax cuts, the expansion of the real-estate-industry favorable tax cuts, the inclusion of what can only be called a 'mock' provision to deal with carried interest (it doesn't), the elimination of the medical expense deduction (in the House bill) that will leave the disabled, the injured, and the elderly in dire straits, the decimation of the casualty loss provision that helps ordinary people recover from natural disasters, the huge cutback to the state and local tax deduction for individuals (while continuing to allow it for all businesses)--all these provisions prove that Republicans don't care a fig about ordinary people.  We won't be spending money on basic scientific research (needed to be competitive in a global marketplace and needed to save lives from cancer and other diseases).  We won't be spending money on infrastructure (needed to have safe roads, trains, airports. etc).  We won't be spending money on  education (other than Betsy DeVos's favored religious charter schools that teach falsehoods on a daily basis).  We won't be creating a sustainable economy that serves all of our citizens.

Oh, but we will be decimating the environment, as Trump's lineup of industry trolls continues to reduce wilderness areas, as Lisa Murkowski sells her tax and healthcare vote to get to open pristine and irreplaceable Arctic wildlife refuge to the oil and gas fossils that have grown obese off 200 years of government subsidies (see The tax bill is bringing drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge closer than ever, Vox.com (Nov. 28, 2017)), as Zinke reduces FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER national monuments set aside by other presidents so that those obese coal and oil and gas guys can get even wealthier (see Zinke backs shrinking more national monuments and shifting management of 10, Washington Post (Dec. 5, 2017)), as Pruitt ensures that nobody at the EPA does anything to protect the air, water and land from industry pollution, see Goodby science, hello industry, LA Times editorial board (Nov. 6, 2017). .....

The passage of a tax bill that will create an additional one-to one-point-five trillion-dollar deficit is proof that the Republicans don't care if they destroy this country in their effort to return to the Gilded Age of the past (or, in Roy Moore's definition of the time that America was great, the slavery era when (white) families stayed together and were able to sell black babies away from their black mothers (or half white babies away from their raped black mothers)).

What is the Republican response to the deficit and mal-distribution problems created by such a huge tax cut for the already wealthy?

1) The tax cut will pay for itself.  This is trickle-down gobbledy-gook.  The vast majority of economists and tax experts are quite clear that this is simply not a supportable claim.  It's pie-in-the-sky ideology with no basis in fact when there have been a number of attempts to find such a basis.  It wasn't true for Reagan, back in an economy for which tax cuts held much more promise of economic stimulus than they do for our current situation.  The Kansas experiment shows this trickle-down reasoning is without foundation. Russell Berman, You Better Learn Our Lesson: Kansas Republicans say they are worried that Congress and the Trump administration will repeat the mistake they made in enacting budget-busting tax cuts, The Atlantic (Oct. 11, 2017).  But Treasury has now put out a one-page analysis--compared to the careful, extensive, fact-based analyses usually prepared to support well-researched tax proposals--saying that the GOP plan would produce record growth and that growth would pay for the tax cuts.  See Alan Rappeport and Jim Tankersley, Treasury Defends Tax Plan Cost with One-Page Analysis (Dec. 11, 2017).  Event the speculative Treasury 'defense' assumes away half of the deficit with legislative cuts that aren't even on paper yet.  It's pure fiction.

2) Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid (the "entitlement" programs) will have to be cut to make up for any deficits.  That, of course, is the underlying plan. See Jeff Stein, Ryan says Republicans to target welfare, Medicare, Medicaid spending in 2018, New York Times (Dec. 5, 2017).  Create a deficit and use it to 'starve the government' to justify cutting any programs that don't serve the oligarchs.  Most of that minority of people who voted Trump into the presidency (assuming there wasn't a good bit of ballot falsification, which I think went on in Detroit to not count everyone's ballot) will suffer from this--they depend on Social Security when they retire and on Medicaid when they become incapacitated in their old age and need nursing home or assisted living care.  Under the Republicans, we'll return to the "good old days" of the Great Depression when old folks became homeless and the government didn't have to bother with caring about the vulnerable.

We all should be hitting the phones and telling every GOP member of Congress that they are not there to protect their wealthy donors: they are there to protect us and ensure that the economy is sustainable and viable for all of us.  This tax legislation stinks. Tell Congress to ditch it in the sewers where it belongs.

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The Long Game of Republican Economics

Right Wing Propaganda Tank IPI Likes the Trump Tax-Cuts-for-the-Rich "framework"

There's no surprise here.  The Institute for Policy Innovation (IPI) is a right-wing "think" (i.e., propaganda) tank that has consistently argued for tax policies that favor multinational corporations and the wealthy.  So IPI has a posting on Sept 29 that is supportive of the so-called "tax reform framework" put out by the Trump administration. 

As an earlier post on A Taxing Matter noted, the Trump framework is a wish list for the wealthy, providing one tax cut for the ultra rich after another:

• elimination of the estate tax (that only affects the heirs of estates worth more than $11 million);
• territoriality (that advantages multinational corporations that actually operate from the U.S. but claim headquarters in low-tax jurisdictions);
• a flat 25% rate on "pass-through income" that gives almost a 15% rate cut to wealthy owners of partnerships in the real estate, joint venture, oil and gas and other businesses (and affects very few true small business owners whose effective tax rate is already no more than 25%, if that much);
• elimination of the top rates on the progressive individual rate structure (reducing the top rate from 39.6% to 35% (or less));
• reducing the statutory rate for corporations to a low 20%, when corporations already pay much much less in taxes than they have generally paid under the income tax system while making record profits and paying their key managerial personnel the kind of salaries and percs that have exacerbated the increasing income inequality gap in the U.S.;
• elimination of the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT), a provision that was enacted to ensure that wealthy taxpayers are not able to use so many loopholes and special provisions that they escape taxation altogether on their income (the elimination of the AMT being a pro-wealthy tax cut that ordinary folk in the lower two-thirds of the income distribution will benefit not one whit from); and
• permitting immediate expensing for five years of equipment and similar expenditures by businesses (another provision that will allow mega corporations to make even more profits that can be shared--through bonuses, higher salaries, and share buybacks with the wealthy managers and shareholders of the enterprise and a provision that runs explicitly counter to the actual economics of the business, in which new equipment stays at close to original value in the early years with wear and tear actually economically backloaded onto the last years of the useful life).

As a result of these provisions, the wealthy who own the vast majority of financial assets (including stock in corporations and partnership interests in real estate and other partnerships) will enjoy hundreds of thousands of dollars of tax cuts.  In fact, the major portion of the tax cuts will go to the very wealthy who need them least.

Meanwhile, the rate of taxation on the lowest income group in the country, the bottom percentile, would be increased by 20% (from a 10% rate to a 12% rate)--a truly significant and revealing increase for people who are struggling to make ends meet in an "as needed" worker environment where steady full-time jobs for a regular paycheck are vanishing as corporations call workers in when they want them and send them home sometimes after only a few hours.  (This is of course accompanied by a continuing right-wing assault on worker rights and the attempt to shrink labor's power and ability to negotiate with extraordinarily powerful employers in unison rather than individually.)  While the standard deduction (and possibly child care credits) will be increased, the personal exemptions will be eliminated, as well as perhaps other deductions that sometimes stave off disaster, such as the medical expense deduction.  This means that many of the low to lower-middle income  families with children will pay the much higher rate of tax on a larger portion of their income--i.e., their taxes will increase. For the rest of the lower income and middle income classes, tax relief will be minimal--a few hundred to a thousand dollars, most likely.

Note that the members of the Republican Party establishment who are pushing this framework have in the past said that they were very concerned about deficits.  Their concern about deficits was the purported reason for limiting the infrastructure plan to jumpstart growth after the Great Recession.  Their concern about deficits was the purported reason for nearly shutting the government down time after time over the decision to raise the debt limit for payment of debt obligations the United States government had already incurred.  Their concern over deficits was a purported reason for wanting to "reform" Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security--the programs that exist to help the most vulnerable Americans.  But now those same Republican Party establishment figures are saying they don't care at all about the deficits.  They are willing to allow the deficit to mushroom in order to give yet another gigantic tax cut to the very wealthy.  The budget resolution put forward by the Senate Budget Committee would allow a $1.5 trillion tax cut over 10 years, but this plan is likely to cost between $3 trillion and $7 trillion (or more).  (Note that the $1.5 trillion figure already includes gimmicky thinking--instead of using the actual law as the baseline, the GOPers are assuming a baseline that assumes that expiring tax cuts don't expire, which gives them more room for additional cuts than if they had to account for actually extending those tax cuts too.  So much for McConnell's pledge that any tax reform would have to be revenue neutral.  See Tentative U.S. Budget-Tax Deal Gets Nod from Two Republicans, Bloomberg (Sept. 19, 2017).   Republicans, as usual, claim dynamic scoring will work, because it will show that growth will make up for lost revenue.  Toomey, a Pennsylvania Republican tax cut ideologue, claimed that tax-cut induced growth would actually reduce the federal deficit, and Wisconsin Senator Johnson agreed (especially with the aid of "dynamic scoring", maybe done outside the CBO). Id. Sadly, that is not supportable.  This is utter hypocrisy.

And while Trump and various functionaries in his administration have explicitly said that their tax "reform" framework is meant to aid the middle class and not give a bunch of tax cuts to the wealthy, there's no evidence in support of that statement.  Their program aids the wealthy and ignores or harms the middle class and poor.  See, e.g., Trump Says His Tax Plan Won't Benefit the Rich--He's Exactly Wrong, The Atlantic.com (Sep. 29, 2017); Trump Proposes the Most Sweeping Tax Overhaul in Decades, NY Times (Sept. 27, 2017) (noting that Trump described the overhaul as "an economic imperative" for whom "the biggest winners will be the everyday American workers as jobs start pouring into our country, as companies start competing for American labor and as wages start going up at levels that you haven't seen in many years" though there was scant detail on how working people would benefit from "a proposal that has explicit and substantial rewards for wealthy people and corporations"). Trump explicitly said in his Indianapolis speech that wealthy people like him would not benefit (see New YOrk Times article, cited above). And Mnunchin said the same thing months ago ("no absolute tax cut for the upper class"). See  Trumps Tax Plan: Prioritize Cuts for the Rich. That statement is simply not true, since the estate tax, the AMT and the reduction of taxes on pass-through income and on corporate income would each directly benefit the Trump family. He also said the framework would "protect low-income and middle income households, not the wealthy and connected".  See New York Times article on Indianapolis speech, above.  Again, that statement is simply not true:  it will provide huge tax breaks for the wealthy and connected and minimal tax breaks or even tax increases for the low and middle income households. And Steve Mnunchin effectively admitted that the plan will result in tax breaks for the rich, essentially by disingenuously claiming that you can't do a tax cut aimed at the middle class without also giving something to the rich.  See, e.g., Eric Levitz, Trumps Tax Plan:  Prioritize Cuts for the Rich, Say He Isn't, Daily Intelligencer, New York Mag.com (Sept. 27, 2017);  Can't guarantee tax cut for entire middle class: Mnuchin, Reuters.com (Oct. 1, 2017) and by saying that the statement that there would be no tax cut for the rich "was never a promise. It was never a pledge...It was [just] what the president's objective was".  Trumps Tax Plan, NYMag.com (Sept 27, 2017). And of course, Gary Cohn, similarly has refused to guarantee that no middle-class family would face a tax increase.  See Cohn, Mnuchin Draw Line on Corporate Rate, Tease Debt Reduction, Tax Analysts.org (Sept. 29, 2017) (Mnunchin claiming $2 trillion of growth with a claim that the tax cuts would cause a 2.9 percent GDP growth rate over the decade and a cut in the deficit; Cohn claiming enough growth to pay for the entire tax cut).  Note that one of the gimmicks that Mnunchin used to avoid the real effect was to separate the estate tax from the regular income tax cuts--so they admit that they are benefitting the wealthy with the estate and AMT taxes, and then claim they are not with the income taxes.  In fact, the income tax cuts also are beneficial for the wealthy.

By the way, as a tax professional and tax academic, I can tell you many ways that you can provide tax cuts for the middle class and poor without providing tax cuts for the rich. Just to consider a few:

• do not eliminate the estate tax--it only taxes the very wealthiest of the wealthy, so it can only benefit the very wealthiest of the wealthy.  The claim that eliminating the estate tax "saves" small businesses and family farms has been debunked time after time.
• do not eliminate the AMT--it only taxes the top quintiles of the income distribution.  If you want to save the affluent rather than the real middle class, you can structure the AMT to hit only the top quintile.
• do not cut the corporate tax rate to 20%--that primarily benefits the wealthy who own most of the financial assets and hold the high-paying managerial positions
• do not cut the pass-through tax rate to 25%--that only benefits the ultra wealthy, since small businesses already pay a rate at or below 25%
• do not move to a territorial tax system--that primarily benefits the wealthy and will do nothing to increase jobs;
• do not increase the bottom rate paid by the low-income Americans from 10% to 12%--that only hurts those taxpayers.
• do not eliminate the highest tax rates (the investment income tax, etc.)  Consider adding a financial transaction tax.
• eliminate the "carried interest" provision that allows wealthy managers of joint ventures to enjoy capital gains instead of ordinary income rates on their compensation along with, often deferral of any income inclusions.
• eliminate the section 1031 like-kind exchange provision, that benefits real estate professionals like the Trump clan with near permanent deferral of income.

As Ron Wydon put it "if this [Trump/GOP] framework is all about the middle class, then Trump Tower is middle-class housing. It violates Trump's tax pledge that the rich would not gain at all under his plan by offering sweetheart deals for powerful C.E.O.s, giveaways for campaign coffers, and a new way to cheat taxes for Mar-a-Lago's loyal members." Id.  In other words, saying it is for the middle class is a whopping fairy tale.  And of course, it doesn't provide any particulars about the nitty gritty issues that would have to be addressed, like preventing abuse of the 25% pass-through rate, limiting the deductibility of interest expense, or phasing out the expensing write-off after 5 years.  Anyone with any understanding of the history of tax provisions knows that lobbyists will start immediately with demands for 1 or 2 year extensions to the expensing elimination, and as soon as the public's awareness of the issue has ebbed, Congress will cave and make it permanent.

IPI likes the plan, nonetheless, because most of the things that IPI claims are "pro-growth" tax policies are actually "pro-wealthy" tax policies that have almost no evidence in support of helping to spur greater growth.  IPI specifically mentions expensing (highly profitable for large corporations, since smaller companies can already expense most new investments); the move to territoriality (favors multinational corporations that have moved their key IP abroad); the elimination of the AMT (favors the wealthy); the elimination of the estate tax (favors the ultra wealthy); and the reduction of corporate tax rates from a statutory 35% rate (paid by almost no corporation) to a statutory 20% rate (lower than the statutory rate of our so-called "competitor" nations, that also have a VAT, which the US does not have).

There is no real evidence that any of these tax changes will spur economic growth, and Congress has never funded the research that would be necessary to show that they do or don't.  It has depended on little more than Arthur Laffer's napkin drawn curve (not based in empirical evidence) and general Chicago School "free marketarian" and "trickle-down" theories.  Oh, and gimmicks like using "dynamic scoring" that assumes a large rate of growth to justify tax cuts that otherwise clearly create huge deficits.  Kansas's experiment in slashing taxes for businesses and wealthy was supposed to prove that cutting taxes was a great way to engender growth.  It proved exactly the opposite.  Reagan's 1981 tax cut was supposed to prove that big tax cuts cause huge economic growth--instead, deficits mushroomed and every other year of his term there were tax increases of one kind or another--mostly hitting little guys and not the wealthy.  Similarly, Bush 2 cut taxes and saw a surplus turn to a deficit, and ended his term with a Great Recession because of a speculative boom fueled by loose money in banks and financial businesses.

In contrast, there is real evidence that public expenditures to improve infrastructure, protect the environment, support basic research not funded by corporations, and fund educational opportunities have real positive impacts on economic growth that is beneficial for the entire society.

Let's call a spade a spade.  This plan for so-called tax "reform" is really just a smokescreen for shrinking government and making it even harder to protect the environment, enforce the laws, make polluters stop polluting, protect the vulnerable and do the other things that the people acting together through government can do but that the people each acting individually simply cannot do.  Like Trump's typical lies (about how "great" his response to the Puerto Rican devastation has been, when he waited days to act, sent much fewer military personnel much later and otherwise treated Puerto Ricans like unimportant Americans compared to the way he treated Texas and Florida), the tax "reform" framework is a lie.  It is a boon for the rich, a boondoggle for the poor and middle class, and a bad joke for the future economic growth of the country.

And that's why Trump has already started threatening Democrats that don't support his plan.  In his Indiana address, he threatened to campaign against Democratic Senator Donnelly if he did not support the tax boon for the rich that will result in at least a $2 trillion increased deficit over a decade.  (Of course, given his failures with Senator Strange in Alabama, maybe that threat, like so much else Trump does, is truly hollow.)

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Cruz, Tea Party, Hostage-Taking Budget Tactics (and the IRS)

The House, dominated by Tea Party/GOP politicians (or those fearful of their impact on upcoming primaries) passed a bill that attempted to tie the continuing operations of the government to compliance with Tea Party ideas about getting rid of the health reform legislation duly enacted four years ago.  See Weisman, House Bill Links Health Care Law and Budget Plan, New York Times (Sept. 20, 2013). Ted Cruz has now run his non-filibuster filibuster in the Senate, and then voted against his own "principled" filibuster position (presumably out of a quite justifiable fear that he would be shown for the fool he is as the only one voting in support of his "principles", since the Senate vote was unanimously on the other side). Ted Cruz Filibuster, NY Daily News (Sept. 27, 2013).

Remember, these are the same Tea Partiers who cried "Get Government Hands Off My Medicare," so one can't expect to see much rational debate about facts and ideas, especially on health care.  The fact that Obamacare is based on a Republican, business-centered idea is lost on the Tea Partiers, who seem to simply hate anything associated with Obama and Democrats.  Similarly, the fact that the reforms for the first time ensure that people who have pre-existing conditions can find insurance to help pay for catastrophic health costs at reasonable rates doesn't seem to penetrate the Tea Party conscience.

The Tea Party and its amenable GOP politicians, however, apparently aren't done trying to use whatever tool however destructive to get their way on health care. Having a sustainable economy is not even on their agenda.  After not succeeding in repealing the health care reform law that at least offers some Americans a chance for needed health coverage (including those with pre-existing conditions and those whose employers offer no plans and who cannot afford the typical premiums for non-group plans), the Tea Party/GOP coalition is using the threat (and likely reality) of a devastating government shutdown unless it gets its way on a matter that the American people as a whole have soundly rejected.  It is ready to push the country off the fiscal cliff all over again. So after the Senate voted cloture to consider the House bill and then passed a clean funding bill to get us through at least a few more months, the House GOP (with the Tea Party reactionaries in charge) again voted on Saturday to add amendments intended to destroy Obamacare to the funding bill (a one-year delay  plus a repeal of the medical device tax, one of the measures intended to cut health care costs and pay for needed reforms).  

The message is simple.  The GOP is attempting to hold hostage the entire federal government, including at least 800,000 federal employees who will be furloughed but who need their paychecks to live, and many towns and cities across the country that depend on their federal government agencies and employees for their own livelihoods.  The Tea Party/GOP coalition has demonstrated that it doesn't care about the government, the long-term harm to the country, or the suffering of individuals caused by these actions.  The Tea Party/GOP coalition is willing to keep going its selfish way, like a petulant child determined not to let anybody have anything at all unless he gets his way.

And even then, it apparently intends to continue to wreak havoc, with the threat of causing the US government to default on its debt for the first time ever, using the silly comparison of the federal government to a family operating on a fixed budget as its equivalent of P.T. Barnum's fictitious but real-seeming mermaid to scam its "Tea Party" members.

While we need to make judicious choices about how and what we spend on, we shouldn't make those decisions based on a single-minded and short-sighted goal of cutting tax revenues and not increasing the federal debt limit.  We are an enormously rich country.  We could work miracles of ending poverty, repairing infrastructure, funding basic research, and creating educational opportunity if only we had the will to do so.  And doing those things would create jobs and hope for the under-and un-emplolyed.  This is because the federal government is not a family operating on fixed wages.  It can print money.  It can also raise taxes.  We are one of the lowest-taxed countries in the OECD, down at the bottom of advanced countries with the likes of Turkey and Mexico.  We have allowed corporations (and their mostly very rich shareholders) to avoid taxes, through legislation and through sharp-witted corporate tax attorneys, to the point where they are only paying a pittance of their enormous profits to the government.  We have allowed our tax brackets to become fossilized at the upper range at extraordinarily low levels of income, when the top earners get so many millions that they pittance that even the top rate brings in is just a gnat's bite for the rich.  

These facts scream for recognition that the Tea Party goals are not only damaging in the process of government-hostage-taking being used to try to reach them, but highly unfair and irresponsible in their likely impact of accelerating the increasing inequality in this country--inequality that means the rich are getting rich while the poor and middle class are losing ground. Thus, the Tea Party/GOP coalition is pushing forward in what amounts to class warfare on behalf of wealthy Tea Party funders like the Koch Brothers and their corporate empire and the "silver-spoon" crowd like Mitt Romney who think that they got where they are through their "merit" (ignoring the many advantages of networks and educational opportunities that helped them "make it" in the status-and-power-based world of crony capitalism).

Charles Reid at Huffington Post  concluded that Cruz was a huckster primarily intent on self-promotion appealing to a Tea Party/Republican base that invites itself to be huckstered.  Here's his description:

[A] good half of the Tea Party is pure, old-fashioned American hokum. There are the conspiracy theorists selling their tales of devious plots by the Federal Reserve. And the gold dealers who spin elaborate yarns of out-of-control inflation which the government keeps secret. And there are the Second Amendment fanatics warning ominously about plots to disarm law-abiding American constitutionalists. There are even the patent-medicine folks. Newsmax, a principal Tea Party news organ, is filled daily with claims about cures for everything from diabetes to Alzheimer's. Charles J. Reid, P.T. Barnum, Joe McCarthy, and the Rise of Ted Cruz, HuffingtonPost (Sept 27, 2013).

But Cruz also draws on what Richard Hofstadter called the "paranoid style" of American politics, says Reid.

This mode of thinking is darkly conspiratorial. The world is sharply divided -- "us" against "them." And those who stand against the heroic defenders of justice and the American way are always secretly scheming to run not just the country but the entire world.  

***

[T]o enter today's GOP base is to cross the border from reality into Glenn-Beckistan. There are the young-earth creationists who see the whole of empirical science as a diabolical plot to conceal divine creation. There are the global warming skeptics, found even in the pages of the formerly great Wall Street Journal. And then there are the folks who come out of the woodwork at conservative workshops and rallies: The ones who want to abolish the IRS. Those who wish to dismantle whole government agencies. Those who believe Social Security is irretrievably insolvent, an accusation first made by Alf Landon in 1936. Even the next generation of segregationists who once thrilled to Wallace and Goldwater.

Charles J. Reid, P.T. Barnum, Joe McCarthy, and the Rise of Ted Cruz, HuffingtonPost (Sept 27, 2013).

This is what the U.S. Congress is reduced to--paranoid hucksterism parading as compassion for the people.  A minority of flim-flam artists huckstering for attention that will, they think, win them reelection and please their paranoid-prone base of Tea Party/GOP constituents--the group who thinks their religious freedom is being oppressed when they can't repress everybody else's religious rights; who thinks a conspiracy to undermine them exists when saner thinking attempts to impose some kind of reasonable restrictions on the gun mayhem that is killing this country's children and youth and elderly in what we once thought were relegated to movie depictions of Old West shoot-em-outs; and who combines this paranoid conspiracy-thinking with anarchic libertarianism to conclude that "taxation is theft" and "government is the problem" even when these majority-Republican rural constituencies from Alaska to Mississippi depend on government employment and other federal dollars for their very livelihoods.  See In Republican States, More Government Jobs, New York Times (Sept. 27, 2013).

There's the rub.  The inability of the Tea Party base to listen, to consider facts, to accept the importance of community and the important role of taxes in maintaining the institutions that make community possible through collective action.  It makes me think of George Orwell's 1984, as depicted in the movie with John Hurt and Richard Burton --a population that has taught itself not to think with home-schooling and religious indoctrination, reinforced by political demogogues who retain power and perks by figuratively beating the proletarian to a nonthinking mass that resents any attempt to act collectively for the greater good of the people. 

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The 'ignorance is bliss'/'ride'em cowboy' mentality of today's GOP

Today's GOP is dominated by the Tea Party types that are a cross between an ostrich with its head stuck in the sand-- the "ignorance is bliss" philosophy-- and a 1860s cowboy as depicted in the 1960s western-mania TV shows-- the "hell bent on raising a ruckus"/"my way or the highway" mentality.  The combination is deadly dangerous for democratic egalitarianism.

On the ignorance is bliss side, see, for one example out of many possible, the "two pending Republican bills that seek to curtail or end vital surveys by the Census Bureau."  Editorial, Stragegic Ignorance, New York Times (May 25, 2013).  

As described in GOP Census Bill Would Eliminate Key Economic Indicators, Huff. Post (May 26, 2013), the only purpose of H.R. 1639,  the bill introduced by Jeff Duncan (R-SC), appears to be to ensure that the government does not have reliable data on the many important indicators of the health of the economy, from housing and health to crime, employment and the environment. 

 A spokesman for Duncan declined to explain why the congressman wants to eliminate such data or even whether he understands that the data would be compromised by his bill, which has 10 co-sponsors.

But the proposed Census Reform Act is explicit in its intent to end nearly every survey the Census conducts, mandating the "repeal" of the nation's agricultural census, economic census, government census and mid-decade census. It would also bar the bureau from carrying out the American Community Survey (ACS), which the House voted last year to end, although the Senate let that measure die.

There is very little done by the government or big businesses that does not at some level depend on the reams of information provided by the Census surveys, from writing regulations and distributing federal services to rolling out new products and finding customers. The ACS is an ongoing survey that collects data every month, instead of every 10 years, so that governments and businesses have current information. Id.

Because it bars the Secretary of Commerce and the Census Bureau from carrying out "any survey, sampling, or questionnaire", the bill would effectively hamstring the government's ability to gather any kind of information other than a numerical count of population.  Note that this would also include all of the information collected by the Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics, since those statistics are generally gathered through the U.S. Census Bureau.  See, e.g., Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditure Survey.  To get a further sense of the importance of the information provided through the Department of Labor with Census Bureau support, see this page showing the subject categories of Labor statistics collected.  Some information collected by the Census Bureau is also used by the Department of Health and Human Services, although DHHS surveys are so specialized that the department has an extensive set of specialized surveys that various of its agencies conduct.  (Let's hope Duncan doesn't notice them, or he will set out to gut that agency, too.)

A similar bill was introduced in the Senate by Rand Paul (R-KY) which specifically targets the American Community Survey--the frequently updated survey that gathers information anonymously and provides a wealth of data about economic trends across the country. See Poe press release; see also Huff Post, Rand Paul, Ted Poe Sponsor Bill that Seeks Religion Law that Already Exists (May 25, 2013) (noting that a 1976 law already ensures that answers about religion on the Census are voluntary, but the Paul/Poe bill gratuitiously includes the same provision again). 

Paul claims the mandatory survey is too intrusive--he wants it to be "voluntary".  Voluntary surveys get low participation rates, particularly in some geographic areas.  The data needs are universal--having gaping holes where there were too many dropouts to give the survey statistical validity would be a huge problem.  But Paul doesn't care--he's too busy scoring Tea Party points with anarcho-libertarians who've been brought up (since Reagan) to think that "government is the enemy", while at the same time benefitting from billions in government aid because of these very surveys.   And too busy using terms like "protect Americans" (from the Poe Press Release) in hypocritical ways that have nothing to do with protecting anybody but the elite--since the result of not having the ACS survey will be to allow more misleading pronouncements to go unchecked by data.  Like Sarah Palin's ignorant assertions about Alaskan self-sufficiency (when more federal tax dollars go to Alaska than come from it), these anti-tax/anti-government claims are mere posturing that misleads ill-informed people to support policies that favor the elite.   As the HuffPost article notes,

[T]he 14 largest counties in Poe's state of Texas received more than $14 billion in federal funding in 2008 based on ACS data, according to a recent Brookings Institution study. Id.

Without such data, it would be harder to show the failure of the laughable tax-cuts-for-the-rich/austerity-for-everybody-else policies of the rightwing in Congress and in state legislatures.  Take, for example, the recent reporting about the way the GOP legislatures that have decided NOT to expand Medicaid will leave the most vulnerable poor in the lurch (yet again) as far as receiving health care that all of us need and most of us take for granted.  The better off will receive the benefit intended by Obamacare, but the worst off will remain vulnerable in those recalcitrant states where the GOP runs the show with the "ignorance-is-bliss" mentality.  Without the kind of regular information collected by the Census Bureau and in particular the American Community Survey, the government won't be able to track results of these Red State "experiments" in austerity to show how much like Third World countries their states become regarding poverty, unemployment, and all the other economic indicators provided by the census.

This ostrich-with-tits-head-in-the-sand mentality makes sense only if the ideas you support are purely ideological ones, for which data is irrelevant.  As Maurine Haver, head of Haver Analytics, noted to a reporter:

[T]here is a fundamental divide between people who are interested in solid, reality-based data and those who are not. "If you know what you think, you don't need information to help you assess what's going on," she said. "The people that need information are the people who use it because they really want the truth, not people who think that because they believe it, it becomes the truth." Id.(paragraphing changed and italics added).

Of late, that seems to be the position of the Tea Party reps in Congress, like Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and too many others.   And they don't care about the ensuing harm to ordinary folk from their efforts. 

Need more proof of the ostrich-plus-cowboy mentality?  Just look at the fight breaking out in Congress between Ted Cruz and the rest of the Tea Party cohort with the somewhat more sensible GOP members like John McCain over the debt ceiling. Kusskin-Shoptaw, McCain, Tea Party Senators Squabble over Debt Ceiling Procedures, Bloomberg.com (May 22, 2013).

 Once again, the Tea Party is willing to run the United States off a cliff over an artificial fiscal limit that is, in the actual economic scheme of things, meaningless except as a stage for such masquerades about fiscal responsibility concerns.  The Party of No wants to Know Nothing to disguise its "bankrupt the US to get at the liberals" ideology in the sheep's clothing of a fake "we care about economic responsibility" policy initiative.

Freedom does NOT reside in allowing brute force economic might to set the rules.  Freedom is having government institutions that work and are subject to the will of the people.  So that when 81% of the American public want gun check legislation, Congress listens to the people instead of to the well-funded NRA.  So that when a majority of the American people don't want corporate funding to be siphoned to campaigns behind the closed doors of erroneous 501(c)(4) status, IRS employees are allowed to do their work to find "parties" that are circumventing politicking disclosure requirements rather than being hung out to twist in the wind under a fake "scandal" created by the ideological anti-tax right.  So that when agencies allocate resources or describe results of economic legislation, they have accurate data to do so.  Freedom does not rest in willful ignorance.

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U.S. Census Bureau Daily Feature for May 25

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Obama caves yet again: offering Social Security cuts to appease the right...

Obama's budget isn't even released yet and he's already caving to the "let's make the rich richer and forget the rest" crowd.  That crowd that claims that we need a capital gains preference so the rich can gather all that extra money to purportedly create jobs.  The crowd, that is, that fails to acknowledge that the rich tend to take all that extra money to Singapore, the Bahamas, or the Cayman Islands or hide it away in some Swiss bank, none of which does any good for our economy compared to what the government investing that money in infrastructure projects would do. See, e.g., David Leigh, Leaks reveal secrets of the rich who hide cash offshore, The Guardian (Apr. 3, 2013);  The corporatist crowd that refuses to admit the empirical evidence that says government investment is as important as private investment in creating jobs.  It is the government that makes the market go round.  And government money--our money--spent for schools, bridges, safer communities provides jobs and improves lives.  Without that government investment, there is no market, just barter.

President Obama seems to have forgotten that he was elected. as a Democrat, over the Republican candidate.  Obama has no business proposing cuts to Social Security benefits as part of a purported deficit reduction package.  Social Security is not a deficit driver: it is a social insurance program earned by those who receive it by payments over lifetimes of hard work.  It is the only stable retirement income most have.  The average Social Security beneficiary receives just short of $14,000 a year from Social Security--that's just 125% of the poverty line, which of course is defined so low as to guarantee that anyone living at or below that line is indeed in abject poverty and unable to move out of it.

The Republican Party has argued for cuts to Social Security benefits for decades, using whatever crisis of the momen they can engender to argue that we can't afford the system in place.  They've invented the perjorative term "entitlement" to imply that those who rely on social insurance because of disabilities or old age are just 'freeloaders' who are mooching off others.   Not so, since Social Security is an earned benefit program like insurance: workers pay premiums throughout their working life, and then once they reach retirement age they may draw benefits. 

There are a number of reasons for the amount of debt that the US government has--most of them related to the four-decade-long drive by the Republican Party to protect the wealthy and the corporations they own from much of a tax burden and to allow the accumulation of immense wealth by a few at the top of the income distribution.  Outsize military expenditures driven by Bush's preemptive wars undertaken at the same time that the Bush Administration pushed through tax cuts that favored the rich are of course a big problem.  The Bush tax cuts threw us from surplus to deficit and we haven't gotten beyond them yet.  The almost complete capture of the financial regulatory agencies by Wall Street, and the resulting financial crisis driven by casino capitalism spiked with the heady bubbles of derivative inflation is of course another part of the problem, and we haven't gotten beyond that yet, as Big Banks still exercise far too much power over their own regulation, proven by the LIBOR scandal that demonstrated their ability to manipulate the purportedly objective market rate to suit their profit machines.

But Social Security is not one of those drivers of the debt.  And the debt is not so outsize that it merits sacrificing the most vulnerable amongst us to mollify the wealthy who merely want to avoid paying their fair share of the revenues needed to get rail service up to snuff, bridges safe, and public schools owned by the public again.

 The average Social Security benefit is just under $14,000: the use of chained CPI will result in a loss to the average recipient of "$4,631 in Social Security benefits by age 75, $13,910 by age 85; and $28,004 by age 95" (from release by Social Security Works, based on “Inflation Indexation in Major Federal Benefit Programs: Impact of the Chained CPI,” Alison Shelton, AARP Public Policy Institute, March 2013.).

Obama has no business facilitating the gluttony of the rich.  He should drop the proposal to use “chained CPI” that will  result in a cut benefits for Social Security recipients.

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McConnell Tossing the Gauntlet on Debt, Taxes and the GOP's dream of dismantling Social Security and Medicare

Pretty much as I predicted, Obama's failure to go over the fiscal cliff--instead "negotiating" and settling for a half-assed deal that hardly got rid of any of the stupidities of the Bush tax cuts--convinced the Republicans that they can play their brinkmanship game on the debt ceiling debate yet again and perhaps finally get the Democrats to undo their own most significant programs of the last 100 years--Social Security and Medicare.

What we ought to be doing is cutting the military/defense and corporate welfare budgets.  And then increasing taxes--with (1) new layers of tax brackets and tax rates corresponding to our new levels of income inequality, so that multimillionaires are taxed at a higher rate than mere millionaires and billionaires are taxed higher than multimillionaires and (2), at the least, legislation to eliminate the farce of the so-called "carried interest: privileged compensation taxation for LBO managers, who get mostly preferential capital gains for their "services" in buying companies and loading them with debt that makes the managers but not the workers wealthy.

But the Democrats somehow still thought they would get some kind of credit, even from the staunchest of the right-wingers, for being "bipartisan" and working out a "deal" to avoid the "fiscal cliff."  So they made the ridiculous Bush tax cuts permanent, except for those in the upper-upper crust making three times as much as anybody in the middle class.  And they made the estate tax cut even larger than it was--with a $5.2 million exemption (double for a couple) and only a 40% rate.  Inequality will continue to grow at accelerated rates.  And they extended the litany of truly egregiously stupid corporate tax breaks, like the bonus depreciation/expensing provisions that ultimately permit corporate multinational giants a NEGATIVE effective tax rate (read Cary Brown on the way noneconomic frontloading of expensing amounts to nontaxation under time value of money principles).

The GOP however is currently running deranged.  The party that purports to care about fiscal conservatism only wants to fund more military and make sure that vulnerable elderly don't get as much in their Social Security checks and have to pay even more for their health care.  McConnell--the MINORITY leader in the Senate--has pronounced his party's views on the matter:  "The tax issue is finished."  Brian Knowlton, McConnell Takes Taxes Off the Table in New Talks, New York Times (Jan 6, 2013).

Folks, the stuff about the debt ceiling and the need to cut benefits under Social Security and Medicare is baloney.  The US government isn't a family--it's a sovereign regime .  We should learn from the Euro nations that are embroiled in a self-defeating austering regime that leaving citizens suffering while trying to toady to big business is a recipe for disaster.

President Obama had damn well better take Social Security and Medicare off the table as well as any corporate tax reductions.  Get rid of corporate loopholes and let corporate tax revenues INCREASE.  It is the only way left to try to re-balance an economy that is skewed in favor of the uber-rich and the multinational corporations and against ordinary Americans.  Oh, it would also help to move to single-payer single-provider health care and get profit-making out of what should be an important human right.

And are we "spending way too much" anyway, as McConnell declares?  Surely not, since we are only spending on things that the Congress has voted to spend on.  If McConnell wants to spend less, let him propose a spending cut and put it to the vote.  If it fails, then he should vote the taxes or borrowing needing to pay for the spending Congress has legislated.

So, just as my advice in the "fiscal cliff" debate was to go over the cliff, let the Bush tax cuts expire, and then put in place some decent cuts for the REAL middle class (those making less than $100,000 a year), my advice here is to go over the "sequester cliff" and let the across-the-board cuts, with the first real cuts to the military in decades, take place.  We should damp down our military zeal and start to put our money where it will build good schools, good colleges, good public transportation, and ultimately good jobs.

As for the debt ceiling, the best thing would be for the Senate to eliminate the filibuster rule (or at least make the right-wingers do a physical filibuster) and eliminate the debt ceiling.  It is an artifact of a different age, and is meaningless.  Think about this.

1) we have spending bills that require us to spend X dollars

2) we have tax bills that only raise X-Y dollars.

3) we have a governmental obligation to pay the X dollars that we spend to those who provide the goods and services amounting to X dollars.

4) Therefore we have a governmental obligation to borrow the Y dollars that we don't raise with taxes.

 

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There are no "per se" tax or spending caps: lame duck negotiations no place for Medicare/Medicaid cuts

When George W. Bush got reelected with a minority of the popular vote and contested state counts, the GOP claimed a mandate to keep going with the fiscally irresponsible program of high military spending combined with tax cuts particularly advantageous for their wealthy and corporate-owning supporters.

When Barack Obama got reelected with a clear majority of the popular vote and a resounding majority in the electoral college, the GOP says Obama has no mandate because the GOP managed to retain the House though Democrats in the House got more votes than Republicans in the House.

Anybody notice the partisan inconsistency there?

What we do know is that a majority of Americans--even lots of those Republicans who voted for Romney--want this Congress to preserve Medicaid and Medicare.  There is a huge effort by some--like the Peterson Institute, the Simpson-Bowles comedy tour, and right-wing propaganda tanks--to cast Medicare as impossible to sustain because of the current trend in health care costs.  The argument goes this way:

• health care costs in the US are rising
• the population that is eligible for Medicare in the using is rising as baby boomers age
• Medicare costs will therefore inevitably increase
• even though Medicare costs are rising less rapidly than non-Medicare health care costs (because of the ability of the government to mandate certain cost controls), those increases will eventually require significantly higher government outlays
• the US has unprecedented levels of debt and annual budget deficits
• the US spends too much compared to its tax revenues (the tax take is several percentage points less of the GDP than the spending percentage)
• therefore the US can't afford to pay those increasing amounts for Medicare health care costs
• therefore we should cut back on eligibilty for, and benefits from, Medicare.

But this argument has several fatal flaws that include the following:

• debt is extraordinarily cheap right now
  • if you can borrow at very low rates, it is better to borrow now than later
  • if you can borrow at very low rates and there are important projects on which to spend the money, the borrowed money acts as a stimulant to the economy
  • if the economy is stimulated by the borrowed money, the GDP growth will likely support continued low interest rates and faster revenue growth that will repay the debt faster
• deficit spending by the government is vital when there isn't private spending
  • and if the economy grows, private spending will grow and deficit spending can pull back
• spending priorities have to be determined: 
  • there is no per se rule that higher spending is necessarily bad (though the right-wing in this country presupposes that there is and based almost all policy prescriptions on that presupposition, because the right-wing ideologically wants to divert public spending to its private pocketbooks)
  • there is no arbitrary and fixed percentage of GDP that is the "right" amount to be spent by the government on government programs
  • we spend too little now on public infrastructure ( public transporation, national roadways, electrical grids, and sewage systems are badly deteriorated), basic research (we have cut back on funding for NIH and NSF, major drivers of advancements in scientific and medical knowledge), and major priorities like combatting global warming/ supporting renewable energy
  • we spend too much now on the military (the military-industrial complex constitutes about 60% of the federal government)
  • we should support continued spending on Medicaid and Medicare, because those programs fill a vital need and serve the population well--we should not reduce benefits but rather increase them, at least for those who rely on Medicare/Medicaid as their primary or only health care plan

• We've already built in various cuts to the spending for Medicare and Medicaid (possibly too much) and the question of what the costs will be ten years down the road depend in part on what else we do along those lines and how those things work out. See Editorial, Health Care Entitlements, New York Times (Nov. 29, 2012); Yves Smith, Naked Capitalism.

• tax policy should be based on fairness in the way we raise revenues and spending priroities in the amount of revenues we raise

• An equation that says "X (health care costs) is increasing and Y (Medicare coverage of health care costs) is increasing (because the number of people needing the program that pays for health care costs is increasing) and Z (taxes for coverage of health care costs) is increasing" and then concludes "therefore we must reduce Y" is using false logic: 
  •  to maintain a relative constant, there are more options than "reduce Y" since the country could:
    • reduce X (move to single payer, as every other advanced nation has done, and halve the cost of health care)
    • increase Z (increase the tax support for Medicare, because it is a high priority that a majority of the citizens of our democracy support)

What we have to do is get away from the kind of thinking that seems to permeate so much of the discussion in Congress and in the media--that there are pre-set limits to how much we should borrow, how much we should spend, or how much we should raise in tax revenues. 

The deficit hawks want us to think that the coutnry will be just another Greece if we don't rein in spending and debt and keep taxes low.  Traditionally our spending has ranged around 21% of GDP, but there is nothing magical about that number--it could rise to 24% or 26% without harm.  And we are not Greece, because we remain a powerful economy, one that can print our own money and one that commands interest from the global economy, so our debt (mostly caused by the Bush tax cuts combined with the Bush wars, and the Reaganomics deregulatory mania) is not an unbearable yoke around our necks.  We should be discussing the real needs of the country for infrastructure and provision of public goods and then figuring out how to pay for them with a combination of taxes and debt.

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When debt is cheap, more debt is okay

We are in an unusal period now in which the federal government can borrow at extraordinarily cheap rates.  Usually when you can borrow cheaply, it pays to refinance your old, more expensive debt with new cheap debt.  It also makes sense to borrow for investments you need to make--especially if those investments will reward you richly with important returns.  Given the gigantic backlog of infrastructure investments in this country, increasing our debt load cheaply would make a lot of sense.  Just imagine if there were $10 billion that could be invested in the 20 or so largest cities in this country in inter-and intra-city rail, demolition of unsafe housing stock, and reconstruction of public parks, gardens, waterfronts, and other amenities.  The projects would have to hire all their workforce from the unemployed or underworked residents in the region.  Detroit, for one, could move its slow rejuvenation forward at a much faster clip.  Every billion would be returned back into the economy as workers spent their pay on necessities, supporting mom and pop grocery stores, apparel stores and restaurants.  Tax revenues would increase, paying off the debt even faster.

Brad Delong thinks borrowing right now makes sense for the USA.  See e.g., Brad DeLong, The Usual Suspect, Project Syndicate (Feb. 29, 2012):

Suppose that the United States or the Western European core economies boost their government purchases for next year by $100 billion. Suppose further that their central banks, while unwilling to extend themselves further in unconventional monetary policy, are also unwilling to stymie elected governments’ policies by offsetting their efforts to stimulate their economies. In that case, a simple constant-monetary-conditions multiplier indicates that we can expect roughly $150 billion of extra GDP. That boost, in turn, generates $50 billion of extra tax revenue, implying a net addition to the national debt of only $50 billion.

What is the real (inflation-adjusted) interest rate that the US or Western European core economies will have to pay on that extra $50 billion of debt? If it is 1%, boosting demand and production by $150 billion next year means that $500 million must be raised each year in the future to keep the debt from growing in real terms. If it is 3%, the required increase in annual tax revenues rises to $1.5 billion a year. If it is 5%, the government will need an additional $2.5 billion per year.

Assuming that continued subnormal output casts a 10% shadow on future potential output levels, that extra $150 billion of production means that in the future, when the economy has recovered, there will be an extra $15 billion of output – and an extra $5 billion of tax revenue. Governments will not have to raise taxes to finance extra debt taken on to fund fiscal boosts. Instead, the supply-side boost to potential output over the long run from expansionary fiscal policy would be highly likely not only to pay for the additional debt needed to finance the spending boost, but also to allow for additional future tax cuts while still balancing the budget.

Mark Thoma agrees, here.  Wonder if we can ever get the fools in Congress to stop their "values" ranting long enough to focus on the real issues--how to get federal dollars into depressed areas and rebuild decaying infrastructure while saving jobs at the same time...

GOP candidates' policies would raise federal debt by whopping trillions

The GOP likes to pretend to take the high road, proclaiming itself to be against increasing the federal debt, running big deficits, or otherwise not running our government like a person runs their household.  Pundits on the right tend to look at Greece and warn--watch out, America, you're gonna be there next.

Of course, there's a big difference in a family on a limited budget and the federal government.  The government can print money to pay its bills; when people do that, it's called counterfeiting.  The amount of quantitative easing is limited, though where the limits are difficult to establish with any certainty--at some point.   And there's a big difference between the US and Greece.  Unlike Greece, we have a sovereign money supply (Greece is tied to the European Union, unless it decides to break away and suffer the consequences).  And unlike Greece, though our debt is high, it is still only about 70% of GDP.  And lucky for us, the foreign nations who buy our debt need somewhere to put all those dollars that they've acquired through their cheap exports to us.

There's another big difference between the US and Greece.  We have a long history of a stable and workable tax system--in spite of the frequent tinkering that Congress has done over the years.  We have at times had politicians in office who recognize their responsibilities to the system and enact new tax laws, in spite of the intense lobbying by Big Business and wealthy interests to try to derail all tax increases.  We can and should increase taxes now, especially on those most able to pay. 

So is that what the GOP candidates are proposing, after all their whining about how Democrats are fiscally irresponsible and blaming Obama for increasing our debt load?  Nope, not at all.  Except for Ron Paul, who wants to harshly cut every government activity, the rest of the GOP candidates have enormous tax cuts and middling spending cuts (mostly to programs that benefit ordinary Americans) and would add to the deficit by trillions of dollars, according to the Committee for a  Responsible Federal Budget.  See Primary Numbers: The GOP Canddiates and the National Debt (Feb. 24, 2012).  Gingrich would have the biggest increase--about $7 trillion in new debt over a two-term presidency.  Santorum would increase the debt by about $4.5 trillion, and Romney would increase it by about $2.6 trillion (unless he really comes up with some offsets as promised).  All three of them are likely depending on the laughable Laffer Curve idea to help them achieve their promises--the assumption that their tax cuts for the wealthy would result in more growth and therefore more tax revenues.