Deficits and the Dividend Tax Cut: Tax Policy as the Handmaiden of Budget Policy, 41 Ga. L. Rev. (2006), is Katherine Pratt's analysis of the Bush Administration's centerpiece revenue reduction bill--the cut in the rates on stock dividends to the capital gain rate. The abstract for the Pratt article follows.
"Tax policy has dominated President Bush's domestic policy agenda. The centerpiece of that agenda is the dividend tax cut enacted in 2003. The dividend tax cut is scheduled to expire in 2010, but President Bush continues to urge Congress to make it permanent. President Bush argues that the dividend tax cut promotes long-term economic growth, stimulates the economy, makes the tax system fairer, provides a steady source of income for needy senior citizens, and pays for itself. This Article evaluates the various rationales President Bush offered to justify the dividend tax cut, with an emphasis on the long-term growth rationale. The economic effects of the dividend tax cut, determined without regard to the fact that it was deficit financed, are controversial and the subject of continuing debate among economists. Early evidence suggests that the tax cut increased the size of dividend payouts and the initiation of dividend payouts. Other evidence suggests, however, that the dividend increases may not be as large as some studies indicated, may not be attributable to the dividend tax cut, and may be temporary. Taking into account the deficit financing of the dividend tax cut, the economic effects of the dividend tax cut are clearer. The deficit financing of the dividend tax cut creates negative growth consequences that offset any positive growth consequences of dividend tax relief. The dividend tax cut also is inequitable. It disproportionately benefits high-income Americans but disproportionately burdens low-income and middle-income Americans due to the effects of cuts in discretionary spending, such as the 2004 and 2005 federal budget cuts that stalled necessary maintenance work on the New Orleans levee system before Hurricane Katrina hit. Congress should not make the dividend tax cut permanent and should repeal the dividend tax cut immediately. Cutting the shareholder-level tax on dividends could have been a viable way of reforming the corporate tax if the dividend tax cut had been structured to ensure that corporate income is taxed at least once and Congress had made up the lost revenue in an equitable and efficient manner or had enacted offsetting spending cuts in an equitable and efficient manner. As enacted, the dividend tax cut does not ensure that corporate income will be taxed at least once and was deficit financed without regard for the harmful future economic and distributional consequences of that deficit financing." This blog has noted, on more than one occasion, that revenue reductions, financed with borrowing that will be paid back by future generations in terms of service reductions or higher taxes, cannot be justified when the primary beneficiaries are the wealthy who own most of the country's financial assets, while the primary bearers of the long-term burden will be ordinary Americans. Theories that revenue reductions will spur sufficient growth to pay for themselves have been shown to be spurious time after time. It is not surprising that such revenue reductions are often accompanied by gimmicks, like the "sunset" provisions used for the dividend rate cut, that are intentionally adopted to enable proponents of revenue reductions to later accuse fiscally responsible politicians of "raising taxes" when they do not vote to continue to cut taxes. Sometimes I am convinced that those in Congress who support such ill-conceived fiscal policies must be like Irwin Schiff, the notorious tax protestor who claims that there is no law requiring Americans to pay tax on incomes-- living in a state of denial about the real meaning of their ideas and actions. If you want to relive political excitement in connection with the passage of the dividend rate reduction measures, read about the wheeling and dealing in this US News "You Gotta Have a Gimmick" story . The dividend rate cut, as shown in this ATR press release, was avidly pushed by Grover Norquist, founder of "Americans for Tax Reform". And of course we have recently learned that Grover Norquist, a very good friend of convicted criminal lobbyist Jack Abramoff, may have used his tax-exempt ATR organization inappropriatlely to further Abramoff's lobbying schemes. See this Los Angeles Times story on the Senate Finance Committee Minority Staff Report on its investigation into misuse of tax-exempt organizations and Abramoff-Norquist ties. For a well-written analysis of the broader implications of the abuses revealed by the Senate Report, see today's op-ed "Congress' Charity Cases" in the New York Times by tax professor Francis Hill.
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